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Latest Coffee Market Report

Coffee Market Report

According to the latest update from the U.S. Government’s National Weather Service Climate Prediction Centre CPC, the current El Niño conditions will continue to develop and strengthen in the weeks ahead with a 81% chance that the weather event will be one of the strongest on record during the October to December period later this year. This follows an extended period during which sea surface temperatures across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific remained close to long-term averages. Forecast guidance, including projections from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble NMME, indicates that El Niño will prevail through the end of this year and into early 2027.
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Coffee Market Report

According to the latest update from the U.S. Government’s National Weather Service Climate Prediction Centre CPC, the current El Niño conditions will continue to develop and strengthen in the weeks ahead with a 81% chance that the weather event will be one of the strongest on record during the October to December period later this year. This follows an extended period during which sea surface temperatures across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific remained close to long-term averages. Forecast guidance, including projections from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble NMME, indicates that El Niño will prevail through the end of this year and into early 2027.
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Coffee Market Report

The world’s largest coffee cooperative Cooxupe, in Brazil have come forth with a report to confirm that their members have harvested 30.90% of the new, majority natural processed arabica crop coffees as at the 3rd July.  This compared with the same...
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Coffee Market Report

Following Monday's historic rally, the coffee futures markets retraced sharply yesterday as profit-taking, speculative liquidation and higher exchange margin requirements triggered a broad sell off. The New York arabica September 2026 contract fell...
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Coffee Market Report

The world’s largest coffee cooperative Cooxupe, in Brazil have come forth with a report to confirm that their members have harvested 30.90% of the new, majority natural processed arabica crop coffees as at the 3rd July.  This compared with the same period last year, and a harvest of 40.40% of the new crop. Cooxupe have reported a total of 2.10 million bags of their forecast 6.80 million bags to be received by Cooxupe received thus far in the current harvest season.  This crop harvest that is underway will support exports to consumer markets for the July 2026 to June 2027 Brazil coffee year.
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Coffee Market Report

Following Monday's historic rally, the coffee futures markets retraced sharply yesterday as profit-taking, speculative liquidation and higher exchange margin requirements triggered a broad sell off. The New York arabica September 2026 contract fell 9.24%% to settle at 317.60 usc/Lb, while the London robusta September 2026 contract fell 4.25% to settle at US$ 3,872.00 per Mt. The upward momentum on Monday was amplified by speculative buying and technical momentum after US markets reopened following the Independence Day holiday on Friday last week, with many investors repricing weather-related risk. Although concerns surrounding the development of a potentially strong El Niño remain firmly in place, the correction in the market yesterday might indicate an overbought situation rather than a shift in the underlying market outlook. Weather forecasts continue to pose significant challenges to global coffee production, suggesting volatility is likely to remain elevated in the near term and with the markets illiquid and speculative sentiment the leading directional influence.
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